News & Publications

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05/26/2020
Economic Publications

All Coface Publications

04/29/2020
Economic Publications

Focus: COVID-19 swings the spotlight back onto emerging countries’debt


While the focus, so far, has mainly been on China, Europe and the United States, the consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic are likely to be even more severe in emerging economies

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04/14/2020
Corporate Publications

CAN CHINA SHIELD ITS ECONOMY FROM THE IMPACT OF COVID-19?

Due to the current coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and its impact on the global economy, it is unlikely that China will be able to achieve its 2020 growth target. Coface forecasts a growth rate of 4% for the Chinese economy in 2020.

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02/11/2020
Economic Publications

Coface handbook: Country & Sector risks 2020

Download the Coface handbook about Country & Sector risks 2020. Tools for identifying, assessing and monitoring the risks businesses are facing.

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11/05/2019
Corporate Publications

Coface introduces CRAFT, a new forecasting tool to estimate growth in the Eurozone

Recession or slight decline, CRAFT provides the keys to the slowdown in the major economies of the Eurozone.
Since the beginning of 2019, there have been increasing signs of a slowdown in global growth. While all economists agree on this downward trend, after reaching the peak of the cycle in 2017, the question mark now lies in the extent of this slowdown, particularly in the Eurozone. While some people mention a recession in 2020, most economists predict "only" a slight slowdown.
To have more clarity, it is therefore important to have reliable and innovative forecasting tools to take advantage of existing indicators. This is why Coface has decided to develop its own forecasting tool: CRAFT (Coface Research Activity Forecasting Tool).

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10/25/2019
Economic Publications

Germany Payment Survey 2019: Turn of the tide

This is the third edition of Coface’s survey on payment experience in Germany, done this summer, with 442 participating companies located in Germany. Our survey highlights that Germany is in a changing phase. The pressure on companies due to international competition is getting stronger. This is one of the reasons why German companies have increased their average credit period from 29.8 days to 35.9 days between 2017 and 2019.

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10/17/2019
Economic Publications

Global economy in 2020: general slowdown despite the action of central banks

As usual, many political events marked the summer: another episode of the Argentine exchange rate crisis, an unexpected change of government in Italy, major demonstrations in Hong Kong and Russia, an ever more challenging continuation of the “Brexit” process and an attack on oil installations in Saudi Arabia.

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10/17/2019
Economic Publications

Country risk assessment map - october 2019

New edition of the country risk map. Consult, download and print the map of the 161 countries assessed by Coface.

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10/17/2019
Economic Publications

Global outlook for the agri-food sector within a protectionist environment

The agri-food sector (alongside the ICT sector), has been at the heart of the global trade war, aggravated by the fact that China’s retaliation measures have often targeted US soybean imports. As a consequence, the US agri-food sector, notably American soybean exporters are negatively impacted by this situation.

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10/17/2019
Economic Publications

Sector risk assessment map - october 2019

13 major sectors assessed worldwide. Coface assessments are based on 70 years of Coface expertise and on the financial data published by listed companies from 6 geographical sectors. 5 financial indicators are taken into account: turnover, profitability, the net debt ratio, cashflow, and claims observed by our risk managers.

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10/03/2019
Economic Publications

The “Made in Russia” strategy: a limited instrument for economic diversification

Thanks to the efforts of the authorities, the diversification of the Russian economy is progressing, particularly in certain sectors such as information technology, pharmaceuticals, the automotive industry and the agrifood sector. In the latter case, the process was encouraged by Russian counter-sanctions adopted as a response to Western sanctions.

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09/24/2019
Economic Publications

Netherlands: What is the secret of Dutch trade?

In 2018, the Netherlands were the sixth-largest goods exporter in the world. In the service-exports category, the Dutch placed eighth in 2015. Considering exports relative to GDP, the Netherlands took third place in 2015 (right behind Ireland and Switzerland). However, times have changed...

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09/12/2019
Economic Publications

CEE insolvencies: so far, so good despite an increasingly challenging global economic environment

The Central and Eastern European region has experienced unparalleled growth in the European Union. However, a slowdown is expected in the coming years.

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09/05/2019
Economic Publications

Coface CEE TOP 500 Companies - 2019 Edition

Analyses show that the favourable economic environment was beneficial for the region’s 500 largest businesses, which translated into higher revenues. However, various challenges caused net profits to decrease. Competition is getting more intense and a higher turnover is required to be classified in the ranking compared to previous years.

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09/05/2019
Economic Publications

Coface Baltic Top 50 - 2019 Edition

The Baltic region’s economic growth is strongly driven by domestic demand. The countries benefit from the favourable situation on the labour market as well as rebounding fixed asset investments. Nevertheless, the external environment remains crucial for the Baltic States. The share of exports of goods and services as a percentage of nominal GDP is especially high in Lithuania and Estonia, where it amounted to 82% and 72% respectively last year. In Latvia it was 59%, making dependence on foreign markets a further important factor.

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09/05/2019
Economic Publications

Coface Adriatic/Balkan Top 50 - 2019 Edition

The Adriatic countries are small economies which are open for external trade with the majority of export volumes sent within the region as well as to Eurozone countries.

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08/05/2019
Economic Publications

GCC: tight financial conditions for businesses feed alternative sources of financing

Despite improving economic performances across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), monetary and financial conditions remain tighter compared with before 2015. Access to financing remains one of the key issues for companies, particularly for small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Loan growth in the region has recovered somewhat thanks to higher oil prices, but it remains below its historical average.

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07/24/2019
Economic Publications

Asia-Pacific Corporate Payment Survey 2019: deteriorating payment trends amid trade war woes

Trade wars, volatile global capital flows, slowing growth in the United States (U.S.) and Europe, Brexit — businesses in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region had to navigate a number of political, economic, and financial pitfalls last year. To better understand the impact that such events have on companies, Coface conducts annual corporate payment surveys across the world. The 2019 Asia-Pacific Corporate Payment Survey covers nine economies in the APAC region. For the survey, data was collected from over 3,000 companies during the fourth quarter of 2018.

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07/08/2019
Corporate Publications

Sector risk assessments - July 2019

13 major sectors assessed worldwide. Coface assessments are based on 70 years of Coface expertise and on the financial data published by listed companies from 6 geographical sectors. 5 financial indicators are taken into account: turnover, profitability, the net debt ratio, cashflow, and claims observed by our risk managers.

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07/08/2019
Economic Publications

Country risk assessment map - July 2019

New edition of the country risk map. Consult, download and print the map of the 161 countries assessed by Coface.

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07/08/2019
Economic Publications

Political risks in Africa: the temperature is rising

Africa has seen a bevy of political events in recent months. After the deterioration of the security situation in the Sahel, as well as the forced departures of historical leaders from Algeria and Sudan via the streets, where will the political risks manifest in the second half of the year?

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